Free Bundesliga predictions for today. Expert German football analysis with form stats, BTTS tips, Over/Under goals predictions, and data-driven scoreline forecasts.
18:30 GMT
55%
Dortmund
LWLLWWWW
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Frankfurt
LDLWDLWD
55%
Home
26%
Draw ยท xG 2.73
19%
Away
Double Chance
Dortmund or Draw
81%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score โ Yes
53%
Full Analysis
Dortmund 5W 0D 3L in their last 8 matches (1.75 scored, 0.88 conceded per game). Frankfurt 2W 3D 3L from their last 8 (1.13 / 1.38 per game). At home specifically, Dortmund are averaging 2.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. On the road, Frankfurt are averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Dortmund and 0.97 for Frankfurt (DixonโColes-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 55% Dortmund, 26% draw, 19% Frankfurt. Dortmund are favoured but it's not a banker โ Double Chance reduces the risk.
Bundesliga Predictions โ How We Analyse
Our Bundesliga predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
