Free Serie A predictions for today. Data-driven Italian football tips with team form, BTTS analysis, Over/Under 2.5 goals predictions, and expert scoreline forecasts.
18:45 GMT
43%
Frosinone
LWDWWL
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Sassuolo
DLWDWL
43%
Home
26%
Draw ยท xG 3.12
31%
Away
Double Chance
Frosinone or Draw
69%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score โ Yes
63%
Full Analysis
Frosinone 3W 1D 2L in their last 6 matches (1.5 scored, 1.17 conceded per game). Sassuolo 2W 2D 2L from their last 6 (1.67 / 1.67 per game). At home specifically, Frosinone are averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Sassuolo are averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Frosinone and 1.43 for Sassuolo (DixonโColes-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Frosinone, 26% draw, 31% Sassuolo. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (60%) โ look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (63%). Frosinone are favoured but it's not a banker โ Double Chance reduces the risk.
Serie A Predictions โ How We Analyse
Our Serie A predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
