Free Serie A predictions for today. Data-driven Italian football tips with team form, BTTS analysis, Over/Under 2.5 goals predictions, and expert scoreline forecasts.
18:45 GMT
36%
Torino
LDDWWLW
Most Likely Score
1-1
Away Win
Sassuolo
WDWLWDLL
35%
Home
29%
Draw ยท xG 2.71
36%
Away
Double Chance
Sassuolo or Draw
65%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score โ Yes
56%
Full Analysis
Torino 3W 2D 2L in their last 7 matches (1.57 scored, 1.29 conceded per game). Sassuolo 3W 2D 3L from their last 8 (1.13 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Torino are averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. On the road, Sassuolo are averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Torino and 1.36 for Sassuolo (DixonโColes-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 35% Torino, 29% draw, 36% Sassuolo. Sassuolo have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.
Serie A Predictions โ How We Analyse
Our Serie A predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
