Free Ligue 1 predictions for today. Data-driven French football tips with form analysis, BTTS rates, Over/Under goals, and predicted scores for every Ligue 1 match.
19:45 GMT
37%
Toulouse
LDWDWD
Most Likely Score
1-1
Away Win
Strasbourg
WLLLLDW
35%
Home
28%
Draw ยท xG 2.84
37%
Away
Double Chance
Strasbourg or Draw
65%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score โ Yes
59%
Full Analysis
Toulouse 2W 3D 1L in their last 6 matches (1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Strasbourg 2W 1D 4L from their last 7 (2.14 / 2 per game). At home specifically, Toulouse are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Strasbourg are averaging 2.00 scored and 2.25 conceded. The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Toulouse and 1.44 for Strasbourg (DixonโColes-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 35% Toulouse, 28% draw, 37% Strasbourg. Strasbourg have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.
Ligue 1 Predictions โ How We Analyse
Our Ligue 1 predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
