Football Predictions Today

PAE AEK 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Real Madrid 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (3.33 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.11 expected goals for PAE AEK and 2.84 for Real Madrid (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 28% PAE AEK, 19% draw, 53% Real Madrid. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (87%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (83%). Real Madrid have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Fenerbahçe 0W 2D 1L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 3 conceded per game). Liverpool 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (4 / 2.33 per game). At home specifically, Fenerbahçe are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model projects 2.41 expected goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.93 for Liverpool (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 48% Fenerbahçe, 21% draw, 31% Liverpool. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (81%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (79%). Fenerbahçe are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

RB Leipzig 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Man City 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (3 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.21 expected goals for RB Leipzig and 2.17 for Man City (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 40% RB Leipzig, 21% draw, 39% Man City. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (81%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (80%). RB Leipzig are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Slavia Praha 0W 1D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded per game). Arsenal 2W 1D 0L from their last 3 (2 / 0.67 per game). On the road, Arsenal are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.41 expected goals for Slavia Praha and 3.51 for Arsenal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 11% Slavia Praha, 13% draw, 75% Arsenal. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (86%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (74%).

PSV 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Club Brugge 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (3 / 2 per game). The model projects 1.54 expected goals for PSV and 4.04 for Club Brugge (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 10% PSV, 11% draw, 79% Club Brugge. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (91%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (77%).

Dortmund 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Real Betis 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (2.33 / 1.33 per game). The model projects 2.69 expected goals for Dortmund and 1.95 for Real Betis (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 53% Dortmund, 19% draw, 27% Real Betis. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (84%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (81%). Dortmund are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Porto 0W 0D 3L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 2 conceded per game). Napoli 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (1.67 / 2.33 per game). At home specifically, Porto are averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model projects 3.31 expected goals for Porto and 1.51 for Napoli (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 71% Porto, 15% draw, 14% Napoli. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (86%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (76%).

RC Lens 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.33 conceded per game). Como 1907 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (3.33 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.46 expected goals for RC Lens and 1.97 for Como 1907 (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 48% RC Lens, 21% draw, 31% Como 1907. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (82%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (79%). RC Lens are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Viking 0W 1D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 3 conceded per game). Sabah FK 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (1 / 2 per game). The model projects 3.47 expected goals for Viking and 1.50 for Sabah FK (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 73% Viking, 14% draw, 13% Sabah FK. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (87%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (76%).