Champions League Predictions Today

Shaktar 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 1 conceded per game). Sporting CP 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (2.33 / 1.33 per game). The model projects 2.43 expected goals for Shaktar and 2.12 for Sporting CP (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 45% Shaktar, 21% draw, 34% Sporting CP. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (83%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (81%). Shaktar are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Galatasaray 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 3 conceded per game). Stuttgart 2W 1D 0L from their last 3 (2.33 / 0.67 per game). The model projects 2.90 expected goals for Galatasaray and 1.49 for Stuttgart (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 66% Galatasaray, 17% draw, 17% Stuttgart. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (81%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (74%).

Feyenoord 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Inter 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (1.67 / 2 per game). The model projects 1.82 expected goals for Feyenoord and 1.64 for Inter (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 41% Feyenoord, 25% draw, 34% Inter. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (67%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (69%). Feyenoord are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Barça 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (3.67 scored, 2 conceded per game). Aston Villa 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (4 / 1 per game). The model projects 1.90 expected goals for Barça and 1.76 for Aston Villa (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 41% Barça, 24% draw, 35% Aston Villa. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (71%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (71%). Barça are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Atleti 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 1 conceded per game). Bayern 1W 2D 0L from their last 3 (3.33 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.85 expected goals for Atleti and 1.23 for Bayern (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 70% Atleti, 17% draw, 13% Bayern. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (77%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (67%).

Villarreal 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (2.67 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). PSG 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (4.67 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.09 expected goals for Villarreal and 2.17 for PSG (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 38% Villarreal, 22% draw, 41% PSG. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (80%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (78%). PSG have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Man United 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 2 conceded per game). Roma 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (2.67 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 3.06 expected goals for Man United and 1.90 for Roma (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 60% Man United, 18% draw, 22% Roma. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (87%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (82%).

Bodø/Glimt 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 3 conceded per game). Lille 0W 0D 3L from their last 3 (1.33 / 3.33 per game). The model projects 2.76 expected goals for Bodø/Glimt and 2.10 for Lille (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 52% Bodø/Glimt, 19% draw, 29% Lille. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (86%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (83%). Bodø/Glimt are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

LASK 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 3 conceded per game). Sl. Bratislava 0W 0D 3L from their last 3 (0.33 / 4.33 per game). On the road, Sl. Bratislava are averaging 0.50 scored and 5.00 conceded. The model projects 1.88 expected goals for LASK and 2.25 for Sl. Bratislava (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 32% LASK, 22% draw, 46% Sl. Bratislava. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (78%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (77%). Sl. Bratislava have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

PAE AEK 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Real Madrid 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (3.33 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.12 expected goals for PAE AEK and 3.11 for Real Madrid (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 25% PAE AEK, 18% draw, 57% Real Madrid. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (89%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (84%).

Fenerbahçe 0W 2D 1L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 3 conceded per game). Liverpool 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (4 / 2.33 per game). At home specifically, Fenerbahçe are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model projects 2.88 expected goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.90 for Liverpool (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 57% Fenerbahçe, 18% draw, 24% Liverpool. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (85%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (81%).

RB Leipzig 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Man City 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (3 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.60 expected goals for RB Leipzig and 2.23 for Man City (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 47% RB Leipzig, 20% draw, 34% Man City. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (86%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (83%). RB Leipzig are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Slavia Praha 0W 1D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded per game). Arsenal 2W 1D 0L from their last 3 (2 / 0.67 per game). On the road, Arsenal are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.43 expected goals for Slavia Praha and 3.18 for Arsenal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 14% Slavia Praha, 15% draw, 71% Arsenal. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (84%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (73%).

PSV 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Club Brugge 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (3 / 2 per game). The model projects 1.56 expected goals for PSV and 3.91 for Club Brugge (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 10% PSV, 12% draw, 77% Club Brugge. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (91%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (78%).

Dortmund 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Real Betis 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (2.33 / 1.33 per game). The model projects 2.44 expected goals for Dortmund and 1.54 for Real Betis (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 56% Dortmund, 21% draw, 23% Real Betis. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (76%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (73%).

Porto 0W 0D 3L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 2 conceded per game). Napoli 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (1.67 / 2.33 per game). At home specifically, Porto are averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model projects 3.12 expected goals for Porto and 1.67 for Napoli (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 66% Porto, 17% draw, 18% Napoli. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (85%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (78%).

RC Lens 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.33 conceded per game). Como 1907 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (3.33 / 1.67 per game). The model projects 2.60 expected goals for RC Lens and 2.08 for Como 1907 (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 49% RC Lens, 20% draw, 31% Como 1907. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (84%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (82%). RC Lens are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Viking 0W 1D 2L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 3 conceded per game). Sabah FK 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (1 / 2 per game). The model projects 4.67 expected goals for Viking and 1.32 for Sabah FK (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 87% Viking, 8% draw, 5% Sabah FK. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (93%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (73%).