Free Champions League predictions for today. Expert UCL match analysis with team form, BTTS tips, Over/Under goals predictions, and data-driven scoreline forecasts.
16:45 GMT
71%
LASK
L
Most Likely Score
7-4
Home Win
Liverpool
W
71%
Home
15%
Draw · xG 15.58
14%
Away
Match Result
LASK to Win
71%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
99%
Full Analysis
LASK 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (0 scored, 1 conceded per game). Liverpool 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (2 / 1 per game). The model projects 10.66 expected goals for LASK and 4.92 for Liverpool (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 71% LASK, 15% draw, 14% Liverpool. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (99%).
16:45 GMT
97%
Feyenoord
L
Most Likely Score
6-0
Home Win
Como 1907
W
97%
Home
2%
Draw · xG 7.84
1%
Away
Match Result
Feyenoord to Win
97%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
97%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
62%
Full Analysis
Feyenoord 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (1 scored, 5 conceded per game). Como 1907 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (4 / 1 per game). The model projects 6.86 expected goals for Feyenoord and 0.98 for Como 1907 (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 97% Feyenoord, 2% draw, 1% Como 1907. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (97%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (62%).
19:00 GMT
71%
Roma
D
Most Likely Score
3-1
Home Win
Real Madrid
W
71%
Home
15%
Draw · xG 5.07
15%
Away
Match Result
Roma to Win
71%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
88%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
78%
Full Analysis
Roma 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 matches (1 scored, 1 conceded per game). Real Madrid 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (2 / 1 per game). The model projects 3.44 expected goals for Roma and 1.64 for Real Madrid (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 71% Roma, 15% draw, 15% Real Madrid. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (88%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (78%).
19:00 GMT
58%
Man City
W
Most Likely Score
3-2
Home Win
PSG
W
58%
Home
16%
Draw · xG 6.26
26%
Away
Match Result
Man City to Win
58%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
95%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
90%
Full Analysis
Man City 1W 0D 0L in their last 1 matches (2 scored, 0 conceded per game). PSG 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (6 / 1 per game). The model projects 3.68 expected goals for Man City and 2.58 for PSG (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 58% Man City, 16% draw, 26% PSG. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (95%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (90%).
19:00 GMT
55%
Bodø/Glimt
L
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Dortmund
W
55%
Home
26%
Draw · xG 2.82
19%
Away
Match Result
Bodø/Glimt to Win
55%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
54%
Full Analysis
Bodø/Glimt 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (0 scored, 5 conceded per game). Dortmund 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (3 / 2 per game). The model projects 1.82 expected goals for Bodø/Glimt and 1.00 for Dortmund (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 55% Bodø/Glimt, 26% draw, 19% Dortmund.
19:00 GMT
58%
Aston Villa
W
Most Likely Score
2-1
Home Win
Fenerbahçe
D
58%
Home
20%
Draw · xG 4.25
22%
Away
Match Result
Aston Villa to Win
58%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
75%
Full Analysis
Aston Villa 1W 0D 0L in their last 1 matches (3 scored, 2 conceded per game). Fenerbahçe 0W 1D 0L from their last 1 (1 / 1 per game). The model projects 2.61 expected goals for Aston Villa and 1.64 for Fenerbahçe (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 58% Aston Villa, 20% draw, 22% Fenerbahçe. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (80%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (75%).
19:00 GMT
98%
Real Betis
W
Most Likely Score
1-7
Away Win
Porto
L
0%
Home
1%
Draw · xG 12.26
98%
Away
Match Result
Porto to Win
98%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
75%
Full Analysis
Real Betis 1W 0D 0L in their last 1 matches (3 scored, 2 conceded per game). Porto 0W 0D 1L from their last 1 (0 / 2 per game). The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Real Betis and 10.86 for Porto (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 0% Real Betis, 1% draw, 98% Porto. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (75%).
19:00 GMT
51%
Shaktar
D
Most Likely Score
7-7
Home Win
PAE AEK
W
51%
Home
31%
Draw · xG 24.76
19%
Away
Double Chance
Shaktar or Draw
81%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
100%
Full Analysis
Shaktar 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 matches (1 scored, 1 conceded per game). PAE AEK 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (1 / 0 per game). The model projects 15.97 expected goals for Shaktar and 8.80 for PAE AEK (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 51% Shaktar, 31% draw, 19% PAE AEK. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (100%). Shaktar are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
19:00 GMT
90%
Sl. Bratislava
L
Most Likely Score
3-0
Home Win
Stuttgart
W
90%
Home
8%
Draw · xG 3.92
2%
Away
Match Result
Sl. Bratislava to Win
90%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — No
63%
Full Analysis
Sl. Bratislava 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (1 scored, 6 conceded per game). Stuttgart 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (3 / 1 per game). The model projects 3.44 expected goals for Sl. Bratislava and 0.48 for Stuttgart (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 90% Sl. Bratislava, 8% draw, 2% Stuttgart. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (74%) — look at the goals markets. BTTS No is the angle (63%) — at least one side is projected to blank.
Champions League Predictions — How We Analyse
Our Champions League predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
