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La Liga Predictions Today

Wednesday, 14 October 2026 ยท 1 matches

Free La Liga predictions for today. Expert analysis of Spanish football with form data, BTTS rates, Over/Under tips, and predicted scores for every La Liga fixture.

19:00 GMT
36%
Deportivo

Deportivo

LDLDWWDD
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Levante

Levante

DLLDWDL
36%
Home
32%
Draw ยท xG 2.28
32%
Away
Double Chance
Deportivo or Draw
68%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score โ€” No
52%
Full Analysis
Deportivo 2W 4D 2L in their last 8 matches (1.5 scored, 1.38 conceded per game). Levante 1W 3D 3L from their last 7 (1.57 / 2.14 per game). At home specifically, Deportivo are averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Levante are averaging 0.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model projects 1.19 expected goals for Deportivo and 1.10 for Levante (Dixonโ€“Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 36% Deportivo, 32% draw, 32% Levante. Under 2.5 carries 60% โ€” a low-scoring affair is projected. Deportivo are favoured but it's not a banker โ€” Double Chance reduces the risk.

La Liga Predictions โ€” How We Analyse

Our La Liga predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.

For a deeper understanding of La Liga betting, read our betting value guide. You can also explore individual team stats on our La Liga stats page.

Tips for Betting on the La Liga

Each league has its own character. Use our BTTS analysis guide, Over/Under goals strategy, and key stats for betting alongside these predictions for the strongest possible approach.

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