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La Liga Predictions Today

Friday, 14 August 2026 · 5 matches

Free La Liga predictions for today. Expert analysis of Spanish football with form data, BTTS rates, Over/Under tips, and predicted scores for every La Liga fixture.

17:30 GMT
43%
Alavés

Alavés

Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Getafe

Getafe

43%
Home
29%
Draw · xG 2.64
29%
Away
Double Chance
Alavés or Draw
71%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
55%
Full Analysis
No recent finished data on Alavés in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Alavés and 1.17 for Getafe (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Alavés, 29% draw, 29% Getafe. Alavés are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
19:30 GMT
43%
Sevilla FC

Sevilla FC

Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

43%
Home
29%
Draw · xG 2.64
29%
Away
Double Chance
Sevilla FC or Draw
71%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
55%
Full Analysis
No recent finished data on Sevilla FC in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Sevilla FC and 1.17 for Rayo Vallecano (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Sevilla FC, 29% draw, 29% Rayo Vallecano. Sevilla FC are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
15:00 GMT
43%
Santander

Santander

Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Villarreal

Villarreal

43%
Home
29%
Draw · xG 2.64
29%
Away
Double Chance
Santander or Draw
71%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
55%
Full Analysis
No recent finished data on Santander in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Santander and 1.17 for Villarreal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Santander, 29% draw, 29% Villarreal. Santander are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
17:00 GMT
43%
Espanyol

Espanyol

Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Levante

Levante

43%
Home
29%
Draw · xG 2.64
29%
Away
Double Chance
Espanyol or Draw
71%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
55%
Full Analysis
No recent finished data on Espanyol in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Espanyol and 1.17 for Levante (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Espanyol, 29% draw, 29% Levante. Espanyol are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
19:30 GMT
43%
Celta

Celta

Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Osasuna

Osasuna

43%
Home
29%
Draw · xG 2.64
29%
Away
Double Chance
Celta or Draw
71%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
55%
Full Analysis
No recent finished data on Celta in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Celta and 1.17 for Osasuna (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Celta, 29% draw, 29% Osasuna. Celta are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

La Liga Predictions — How We Analyse

Our La Liga predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.

For a deeper understanding of La Liga betting, read our betting value guide. You can also explore individual team stats on our La Liga stats page.

Tips for Betting on the La Liga

Each league has its own character. Use our BTTS analysis guide, Over/Under goals strategy, and key stats for betting alongside these predictions for the strongest possible approach.

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