Algeria vs Austria Prediction

Algeria vs Austria: the preview

Algeria meet Austria in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 28 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Algeria are a CAF side whose best run is round of 16 in 2014. Austria come in as a UEFA nation, best known for third place in 1954.

Algeria 1W 1D 2L in their last 4 matches (1.25 scored, 2.25 conceded per game). Austria 1W 1D 2L from their last 4 (1.5 / 2.25 per game). On the road, Austria are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Algeria and 1.38 for Austria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 38% Algeria, 28% draw, 34% Austria. Algeria are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Algeria vs Austria prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (38% confidence). It projects roughly 2.85 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Algeria and Austria ahead of kickoff.