Algeria vs Austria Prediction

Algeria vs Austria: the preview

Algeria meet Austria in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 28 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Algeria are a CAF side whose best run is round of 16 in 2014. Austria come in as a UEFA nation, best known for third place in 1954.

Algeria 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 2.33 conceded per game). Austria 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (2 / 2 per game). On the road, Austria are averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. The model projects 1.55 expected goals for Algeria and 1.29 for Austria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 42% Algeria, 28% draw, 30% Austria. Algeria are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Algeria vs Austria prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (42% confidence). It projects roughly 2.84 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Algeria and Austria ahead of kickoff.