Free World Cup 2026 predictions. Data-driven analysis of every FIFA World Cup fixture with form stats, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5 goals tips, and predicted scores across all 12 groups.
19:00 GMT
43%
Mexico
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
South Africa
43%
Home
29%
Draw · xG 2.64
29%
Away
Double Chance
Mexico or Draw
71%
Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
55%
Full Analysis
No recent finished data on Mexico in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Mexico and 1.17 for South Africa (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Mexico, 29% draw, 29% South Africa. Mexico are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on South Korea in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for South Korea and 1.17 for Czechia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% South Korea, 29% draw, 29% Czechia. South Korea are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Canada in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Canada and 1.17 for Bosnia-Herzegovina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Canada, 29% draw, 29% Bosnia-Herzegovina. Canada are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on United States in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for United States and 1.17 for Paraguay (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% United States, 29% draw, 29% Paraguay. United States are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Qatar in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Qatar and 1.17 for Switzerland (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Qatar, 29% draw, 29% Switzerland. Qatar are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Brazil in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Brazil and 1.17 for Morocco (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Brazil, 29% draw, 29% Morocco. Brazil are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Haiti in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Haiti and 1.17 for Scotland (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Haiti, 29% draw, 29% Scotland. Haiti are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Australia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Australia and 1.17 for Turkey (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Australia, 29% draw, 29% Turkey. Australia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Germany in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Germany and 1.17 for Curaçao (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Germany, 29% draw, 29% Curaçao. Germany are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Netherlands in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Netherlands and 1.17 for Japan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Netherlands, 29% draw, 29% Japan. Netherlands are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Ivory Coast in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Ivory Coast and 1.17 for Ecuador (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Ivory Coast, 29% draw, 29% Ecuador. Ivory Coast are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Sweden in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Sweden and 1.17 for Tunisia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Sweden, 29% draw, 29% Tunisia. Sweden are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Spain in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Spain and 1.17 for Cape Verde Islands (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Spain, 29% draw, 29% Cape Verde Islands. Spain are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Belgium in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Belgium and 1.17 for Egypt (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Belgium, 29% draw, 29% Egypt. Belgium are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Saudi Arabia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Saudi Arabia and 1.17 for Uruguay (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Saudi Arabia, 29% draw, 29% Uruguay. Saudi Arabia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Iran in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Iran and 1.17 for New Zealand (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Iran, 29% draw, 29% New Zealand. Iran are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on France in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for France and 1.17 for Senegal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% France, 29% draw, 29% Senegal. France are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Iraq in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Iraq and 1.17 for Norway (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Iraq, 29% draw, 29% Norway. Iraq are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Argentina in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Argentina and 1.17 for Algeria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Argentina, 29% draw, 29% Algeria. Argentina are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Austria in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Austria and 1.17 for Jordan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Austria, 29% draw, 29% Jordan. Austria are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Portugal in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Portugal and 1.17 for Congo DR (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Portugal, 29% draw, 29% Congo DR. Portugal are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on England in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for England and 1.17 for Croatia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% England, 29% draw, 29% Croatia. England are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Ghana in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Ghana and 1.17 for Panama (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Ghana, 29% draw, 29% Panama. Ghana are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Uzbekistan in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Uzbekistan and 1.17 for Colombia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Uzbekistan, 29% draw, 29% Colombia. Uzbekistan are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Czechia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Czechia and 1.17 for South Africa (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Czechia, 29% draw, 29% South Africa. Czechia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Switzerland in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Switzerland and 1.17 for Bosnia-Herzegovina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Switzerland, 29% draw, 29% Bosnia-Herzegovina. Switzerland are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Canada in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Canada and 1.17 for Qatar (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Canada, 29% draw, 29% Qatar. Canada are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Mexico in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Mexico and 1.17 for South Korea (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Mexico, 29% draw, 29% South Korea. Mexico are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on United States in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for United States and 1.17 for Australia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% United States, 29% draw, 29% Australia. United States are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Scotland in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Scotland and 1.17 for Morocco (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Scotland, 29% draw, 29% Morocco. Scotland are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Brazil in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Brazil and 1.17 for Haiti (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Brazil, 29% draw, 29% Haiti. Brazil are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Turkey in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Turkey and 1.17 for Paraguay (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Turkey, 29% draw, 29% Paraguay. Turkey are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Netherlands in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Netherlands and 1.17 for Sweden (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Netherlands, 29% draw, 29% Sweden. Netherlands are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Germany in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Germany and 1.17 for Ivory Coast (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Germany, 29% draw, 29% Ivory Coast. Germany are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Ecuador in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Ecuador and 1.17 for Curaçao (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Ecuador, 29% draw, 29% Curaçao. Ecuador are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Tunisia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Tunisia and 1.17 for Japan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Tunisia, 29% draw, 29% Japan. Tunisia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Spain in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Spain and 1.17 for Saudi Arabia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Spain, 29% draw, 29% Saudi Arabia. Spain are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Belgium in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Belgium and 1.17 for Iran (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Belgium, 29% draw, 29% Iran. Belgium are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Uruguay in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Uruguay and 1.17 for Cape Verde Islands (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Uruguay, 29% draw, 29% Cape Verde Islands. Uruguay are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on New Zealand in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for New Zealand and 1.17 for Egypt (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% New Zealand, 29% draw, 29% Egypt. New Zealand are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Argentina in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Argentina and 1.17 for Austria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Argentina, 29% draw, 29% Austria. Argentina are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on France in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for France and 1.17 for Iraq (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% France, 29% draw, 29% Iraq. France are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Norway in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Norway and 1.17 for Senegal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Norway, 29% draw, 29% Senegal. Norway are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Jordan in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Jordan and 1.17 for Algeria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Jordan, 29% draw, 29% Algeria. Jordan are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Portugal in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Portugal and 1.17 for Uzbekistan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Portugal, 29% draw, 29% Uzbekistan. Portugal are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on England in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for England and 1.17 for Ghana (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% England, 29% draw, 29% Ghana. England are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Panama in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Panama and 1.17 for Croatia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Panama, 29% draw, 29% Croatia. Panama are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Colombia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Colombia and 1.17 for Congo DR (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Colombia, 29% draw, 29% Congo DR. Colombia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Switzerland in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Switzerland and 1.17 for Canada (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Switzerland, 29% draw, 29% Canada. Switzerland are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Bosnia-Herzegovina in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Bosnia-Herzegovina and 1.17 for Qatar (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Bosnia-Herzegovina, 29% draw, 29% Qatar. Bosnia-Herzegovina are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Morocco in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Morocco and 1.17 for Haiti (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Morocco, 29% draw, 29% Haiti. Morocco are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Scotland in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Scotland and 1.17 for Brazil (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Scotland, 29% draw, 29% Brazil. Scotland are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Czechia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Czechia and 1.17 for Mexico (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Czechia, 29% draw, 29% Mexico. Czechia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on South Africa in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for South Africa and 1.17 for South Korea (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% South Africa, 29% draw, 29% South Korea. South Africa are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Ecuador in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Ecuador and 1.17 for Germany (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Ecuador, 29% draw, 29% Germany. Ecuador are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Curaçao in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Curaçao and 1.17 for Ivory Coast (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Curaçao, 29% draw, 29% Ivory Coast. Curaçao are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Tunisia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Tunisia and 1.17 for Netherlands (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Tunisia, 29% draw, 29% Netherlands. Tunisia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Japan in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Japan and 1.17 for Sweden (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Japan, 29% draw, 29% Sweden. Japan are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Turkey in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Turkey and 1.17 for United States (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Turkey, 29% draw, 29% United States. Turkey are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Paraguay in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Paraguay and 1.17 for Australia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Paraguay, 29% draw, 29% Australia. Paraguay are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Norway in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Norway and 1.17 for France (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Norway, 29% draw, 29% France. Norway are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Senegal in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Senegal and 1.17 for Iraq (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Senegal, 29% draw, 29% Iraq. Senegal are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Uruguay in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Uruguay and 1.17 for Spain (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Uruguay, 29% draw, 29% Spain. Uruguay are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Cape Verde Islands in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Cape Verde Islands and 1.17 for Saudi Arabia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Cape Verde Islands, 29% draw, 29% Saudi Arabia. Cape Verde Islands are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on New Zealand in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for New Zealand and 1.17 for Belgium (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% New Zealand, 29% draw, 29% Belgium. New Zealand are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Egypt in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Egypt and 1.17 for Iran (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Egypt, 29% draw, 29% Iran. Egypt are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Panama in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Panama and 1.17 for England (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Panama, 29% draw, 29% England. Panama are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Croatia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Croatia and 1.17 for Ghana (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Croatia, 29% draw, 29% Ghana. Croatia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Colombia in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Colombia and 1.17 for Portugal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Colombia, 29% draw, 29% Portugal. Colombia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Congo DR in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Congo DR and 1.17 for Uzbekistan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Congo DR, 29% draw, 29% Uzbekistan. Congo DR are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Jordan in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Jordan and 1.17 for Argentina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Jordan, 29% draw, 29% Argentina. Jordan are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
No recent finished data on Algeria in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Algeria and 1.17 for Austria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Algeria, 29% draw, 29% Austria. Algeria are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
Our World Cup 2026 predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
For a deeper understanding of World Cup 2026 betting, read our betting value guide. Explore the full tournament — group tables, fixtures and squads — on our World Cup 2026 hub.
