World Cup 2026 Predictions Today

South Africa 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 1 conceded per game). Canada 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (2.67 / 1 per game). The model projects 1.49 expected goals for South Africa and 1.59 for Canada (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 35% South Africa, 26% draw, 39% Canada. Both teams scoring looks likely (63%). Canada have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Brazil 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (2.33 scored, 0.33 conceded per game). Japan 1W 2D 0L from their last 3 (2.33 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Brazil are averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Japan are averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 0.99 expected goals for Brazil and 1.28 for Japan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 27% Brazil, 31% draw, 41% Japan. Under 2.5 carries 60% — a low-scoring affair is projected. Japan have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Germany 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (3.33 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Paraguay 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (0.67 / 1.33 per game). At home specifically, Germany are averaging 4.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Paraguay are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. The model projects 2.94 expected goals for Germany and 2.49 for Paraguay (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 48% Germany, 18% draw, 33% Paraguay. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (91%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (87%). Germany are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Netherlands 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (3.33 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Morocco 2W 1D 0L from their last 3 (2 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Netherlands are averaging 3.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. On the road, Morocco are averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Netherlands and 1.06 for Morocco (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 45% Netherlands, 29% draw, 26% Morocco. Netherlands are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Ivory Coast 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Norway 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (2.67 / 2.33 per game). The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Ivory Coast and 1.02 for Norway (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 38% Ivory Coast, 32% draw, 30% Norway. Under 2.5 carries 62% — a low-scoring affair is projected. Ivory Coast are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

France 3W 0D 0L in their last 3 matches (3.33 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Sweden 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (2.33 / 2.33 per game). At home specifically, France are averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Sweden are averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. The model projects 1.05 expected goals for France and 0.49 for Sweden (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 48% France, 37% draw, 16% Sweden. Under 2.5 carries 80% — a low-scoring affair is projected. BTTS No is the angle (74%) — at least one side is projected to blank. France are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Mexico 3W 0D 0L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 0 conceded per game). Ecuador 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (0.67 / 0.67 per game). At home specifically, Mexico are averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. The model projects 1.19 expected goals for Mexico and 1.28 for Ecuador (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 33% Mexico, 30% draw, 37% Ecuador. Ecuador have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

England 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Congo DR 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (1.33 / 1 per game). At home specifically, England are averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Congo DR are averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 2.09 expected goals for England and 1.70 for Congo DR (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 46% England, 23% draw, 31% Congo DR. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (73%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (73%). England are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Belgium 1W 2D 0L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Senegal 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (2.67 / 2 per game). At home specifically, Belgium are averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Senegal are averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. The model projects 0.97 expected goals for Belgium and 0.74 for Senegal (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 38% Belgium, 37% draw, 25% Senegal. Under 2.5 carries 75% — a low-scoring affair is projected. BTTS No is the angle (66%) — at least one side is projected to blank. Belgium are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

United States 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Bosnia-Herzegovina 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (1.67 / 2 per game). At home specifically, United States are averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Bosnia-Herzegovina are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. The model projects 2.44 expected goals for United States and 1.43 for Bosnia-Herzegovina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 59% United States, 21% draw, 21% Bosnia-Herzegovina. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (74%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (70%).

Spain 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (1.67 scored, 0 conceded per game). Austria 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (2 / 2 per game). At home specifically, Spain are averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. On the road, Austria are averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. The model projects 2.26 expected goals for Spain and 1.61 for Austria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 52% Spain, 22% draw, 27% Austria. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (74%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (73%). Spain are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Portugal 1W 2D 0L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 0.33 conceded per game). Croatia 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (1.67 / 1.67 per game). At home specifically, Portugal are averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Croatia are averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. The model projects 3.50 expected goals for Portugal and 2.28 for Croatia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 60% Portugal, 16% draw, 23% Croatia. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (92%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (87%).

Switzerland 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (2.33 scored, 1 conceded per game). Algeria 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (1.67 / 2.33 per game). At home specifically, Switzerland are averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Algeria are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. The model projects 1.28 expected goals for Switzerland and 0.86 for Algeria (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 45% Switzerland, 32% draw, 23% Algeria. Under 2.5 carries 64% — a low-scoring affair is projected. Switzerland are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Australia 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Egypt 1W 2D 0L from their last 3 (1.67 / 1 per game). On the road, Egypt are averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Australia and 1.10 for Egypt (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 34% Australia, 32% draw, 34% Egypt. Under 2.5 carries 62% — a low-scoring affair is projected. Australia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Argentina 3W 0D 0L in their last 3 matches (2.67 scored, 0.33 conceded per game). Cape Verde Islands 0W 3D 0L from their last 3 (0.67 / 0.67 per game). At home specifically, Argentina are averaging 2.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. On the road, Cape Verde Islands are averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.66 expected goals for Argentina and 1.04 for Cape Verde Islands (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 50% Argentina, 27% draw, 22% Cape Verde Islands. Argentina are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Colombia 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded per game). Ghana 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (0.67 / 0.67 per game). At home specifically, Colombia are averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. On the road, Ghana are averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.17 expected goals for Colombia and 0.78 for Ghana (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 44% Colombia, 34% draw, 23% Ghana. Under 2.5 carries 69% — a low-scoring affair is projected. BTTS No is the angle (61%) — at least one side is projected to blank. Colombia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.