Belgium vs Egypt Prediction

Belgium vs Egypt: the preview

Belgium meet Egypt in Group G of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Monday, June 15 at 3:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Belgium are a UEFA side whose best run is third place in 2018. Egypt come in as a CAF nation, best known for group stage in 1934, 1990 and 2018.

Belgium 1W 2D 0L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 0.67 conceded per game). Egypt 1W 2D 0L from their last 3 (1.67 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Belgium are averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Egypt are averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Belgium and 1.18 for Egypt (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 28% Belgium, 33% draw, 39% Egypt. Under 2.5 carries 64% — a low-scoring affair is projected. Egypt have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Belgium vs Egypt prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (39% confidence). It projects roughly 2.14 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 36% and both teams to score at 44%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Belgium and Egypt ahead of kickoff.