Brazil vs Haiti Prediction

Brazil vs Haiti: the preview

Brazil meet Haiti in Group C of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Saturday, June 20 at 8:30 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Brazil are 5-time world champions. Haiti come in as a CONCACAF nation, best known for group stage in 1974.

Brazil 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game). Haiti 0W 0D 3L from their last 3 (0.67 / 2.67 per game). At home specifically, Brazil are averaging 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Haiti are averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. The model projects 2.24 expected goals for Brazil and 1.67 for Haiti (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 50% Brazil, 22% draw, 28% Haiti. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (75%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (73%). Brazil are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Brazil vs Haiti prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (50% confidence). It projects roughly 3.91 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 75% and both teams to score at 73%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Brazil and Haiti ahead of kickoff.