Colombia vs Congo DR Prediction

Colombia vs Congo DR: the preview

Colombia meet Congo DR in Group K of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Wednesday, June 24 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Colombia are a CONMEBOL side whose best run is quarter-finals in 2014. Congo DR come in as a CAF nation, best known for group stage in 1974 (as Zaire).

Colombia 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded per game). Congo DR 1W 1D 1L from their last 3 (1.33 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Colombia are averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. On the road, Congo DR are averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.08 expected goals for Colombia and 0.65 for Congo DR (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 44% Colombia, 36% draw, 21% Congo DR. Under 2.5 carries 75% — a low-scoring affair is projected. BTTS No is the angle (67%) — at least one side is projected to blank. Colombia are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Colombia vs Congo DR prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 0-0 (44% confidence). It projects roughly 1.73 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 25% and both teams to score at 33%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Colombia and Congo DR ahead of kickoff.