Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Prediction

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: the preview

Congo DR meet Uzbekistan in Group K of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Saturday, June 27 at 7:30 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Congo DR are a CAF side whose best run is group stage in 1974 (as Zaire). Uzbekistan come in as a AFC nation, best known for first World Cup appearance.

No recent finished data on Congo DR in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.57 expected goals for Congo DR and 1.29 for Uzbekistan (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Congo DR, 27% draw, 30% Uzbekistan. Congo DR are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Congo DR vs Uzbekistan prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (43% confidence). It projects roughly 2.86 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Congo DR and Uzbekistan ahead of kickoff.