Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast: the preview

Curaçao meet Ivory Coast in Group E of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Thursday, June 25 at 4:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Curaçao are a CONCACAF side whose best run is first World Cup appearance. Ivory Coast come in as a CAF nation, best known for group stage in 2006, 2010 and 2014.

Curaçao 0W 1D 2L in their last 3 matches (0.33 scored, 3 conceded per game). Ivory Coast 2W 0D 2L from their last 4 (1.25 / 1 per game). On the road, Ivory Coast are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Curaçao and 1.40 for Ivory Coast (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 29% Curaçao, 29% draw, 41% Ivory Coast. Ivory Coast have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Curaçao vs Ivory Coast prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (41% confidence). It projects roughly 2.55 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Curaçao and Ivory Coast ahead of kickoff.