Germany vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Germany vs Ivory Coast: the preview

Germany meet Ivory Coast in Group E of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Saturday, June 20 at 4:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Germany are 4-time world champions. Ivory Coast come in as a CAF nation, best known for group stage in 2006, 2010 and 2014.

Germany 2W 0D 1L in their last 3 matches (3.33 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Ivory Coast 2W 0D 1L from their last 3 (1.33 / 0.67 per game). At home specifically, Germany are averaging 4.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Ivory Coast are averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 2.38 expected goals for Germany and 2.14 for Ivory Coast (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 44% Germany, 21% draw, 35% Ivory Coast. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (83%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (81%). Germany are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 2-2 (44% confidence). It projects roughly 4.52 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 83% and both teams to score at 81%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Germany and Ivory Coast ahead of kickoff.