Germany vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Germany vs Ivory Coast: the preview

Germany meet Ivory Coast in Group E of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Saturday, June 20 at 4:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Germany are 4-time world champions. Ivory Coast come in as a CAF nation, best known for group stage in 2006, 2010 and 2014.

No recent finished data on Germany in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.57 expected goals for Germany and 1.29 for Ivory Coast (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Germany, 27% draw, 30% Ivory Coast. Germany are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (43% confidence). It projects roughly 2.86 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Germany and Ivory Coast ahead of kickoff.