Haiti vs Scotland Prediction

Haiti vs Scotland: the preview

Haiti meet Scotland in Group C of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 14 at 9:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Haiti are a CONCACAF side whose best run is group stage in 1974. Scotland come in as a UEFA nation, best known for never advanced past the group stage.

Haiti 0W 0D 3L in their last 3 matches (0.67 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Scotland 1W 0D 2L from their last 3 (0.33 / 1.33 per game). The model projects 1.77 expected goals for Haiti and 1.35 for Scotland (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 46% Haiti, 26% draw, 28% Scotland. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (60%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (63%). Haiti are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Haiti vs Scotland prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (46% confidence). It projects roughly 3.12 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 60% and both teams to score at 63%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Haiti and Scotland ahead of kickoff.