Haiti vs Scotland Prediction

Haiti vs Scotland: the preview

Haiti meet Scotland in Group C of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 14 at 9:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Haiti are a CONCACAF side whose best run is group stage in 1974. Scotland come in as a UEFA nation, best known for never advanced past the group stage.

No recent finished data on Haiti in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.57 expected goals for Haiti and 1.29 for Scotland (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Haiti, 28% draw, 30% Scotland. Haiti are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Haiti vs Scotland prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (43% confidence). It projects roughly 2.85 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Haiti and Scotland ahead of kickoff.