Ivory Coast vs Norway Prediction

Ivory Coast vs Norway: the preview

Ivory Coast meet Norway in Round of 32 of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Tuesday, June 30 at 1:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Ivory Coast are a CAF side whose best run is group stage in 2006, 2010 and 2014. Norway come in as a UEFA nation, best known for round of 16 in 1998.

Ivory Coast 2W 0D 2L in their last 4 matches (1.25 scored, 1 conceded per game). Norway 4W 0D 2L from their last 6 (2.17 / 1.83 per game). At home specifically, Ivory Coast are averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. On the road, Norway are averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Ivory Coast and 1.65 for Norway (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 19% Ivory Coast, 27% draw, 53% Norway. Norway have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (53% confidence). It projects roughly 2.57 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Ivory Coast and Norway ahead of kickoff.