Jordan vs Argentina Prediction

Jordan vs Argentina: the preview

Jordan meet Argentina in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 28 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Jordan are a AFC side whose best run is first World Cup appearance. Argentina come in as 3-time winners.

No recent finished data on Jordan in this competition — the model leans on league averages. The model projects 1.57 expected goals for Jordan and 1.29 for Argentina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 43% Jordan, 27% draw, 30% Argentina. Jordan are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Jordan vs Argentina prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (43% confidence). It projects roughly 2.86 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Jordan and Argentina ahead of kickoff.