Jordan vs Argentina Prediction

Jordan vs Argentina: the preview

Jordan meet Argentina in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 28 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Jordan are a AFC side whose best run is first World Cup appearance. Argentina come in as 3-time winners.

Jordan 0W 0D 3L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Argentina 7W 0D 0L from their last 7 (2.71 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Jordan are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. On the road, Argentina are averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.09 expected goals for Jordan and 1.63 for Argentina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 24% Jordan, 27% draw, 49% Argentina. Argentina have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Jordan vs Argentina prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (49% confidence). It projects roughly 2.72 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Jordan and Argentina ahead of kickoff.