World Cup 2026 · Group J
Jordan vs Argentina Prediction
Sunday, June 28 · 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT · 02:00 GMT
Jordan
Argentina
Jordan vs Argentina: the preview
Jordan meet Argentina in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 28 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Jordan are a AFC side whose best run is first World Cup appearance. Argentina come in as 3-time winners.
Jordan 0W 0D 3L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Argentina 6W 0D 0L from their last 6 (2.83 / 1 per game). At home specifically, Jordan are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Jordan and 2.03 for Argentina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 17% Jordan, 23% draw, 60% Argentina.
Our Jordan vs Argentina prediction
The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (60% confidence). It projects roughly 3.04 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 57%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.
Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Jordan and Argentina ahead of kickoff.