Jordan vs Argentina Prediction

Jordan vs Argentina: the preview

Jordan meet Argentina in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Sunday, June 28 at 10:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Jordan are a AFC side whose best run is first World Cup appearance. Argentina come in as 3-time winners.

Jordan 0W 0D 3L in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2.67 conceded per game). Argentina 3W 0D 0L from their last 3 (2.67 / 0.33 per game). At home specifically, Jordan are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. The model projects 0.85 expected goals for Jordan and 1.23 for Argentina (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 24% Jordan, 33% draw, 43% Argentina. Under 2.5 carries 66% — a low-scoring affair is projected. Argentina have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Jordan vs Argentina prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (43% confidence). It projects roughly 2.08 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 34% and both teams to score at 42%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Jordan and Argentina ahead of kickoff.