Morocco vs Haiti Prediction

Morocco vs Haiti: the preview

Morocco meet Haiti in Group C of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Wednesday, June 24 at 6:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Morocco are a CAF side whose best run is fourth place in 2022, the best by an African nation. Haiti come in as a CONCACAF nation, best known for group stage in 1974.

Morocco 2W 1D 0L in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 1 conceded per game). Haiti 0W 0D 3L from their last 3 (0.67 / 2.67 per game). On the road, Haiti are averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. The model projects 2.61 expected goals for Morocco and 2.40 for Haiti (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 44% Morocco, 19% draw, 37% Haiti. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (88%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (85%). Morocco are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.

Our Morocco vs Haiti prediction

The model's lean is Home Win with a most-likely scoreline of 2-2 (44% confidence). It projects roughly 5.01 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 88% and both teams to score at 85%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Morocco and Haiti ahead of kickoff.