Scotland vs Brazil Prediction

Scotland vs Brazil: the preview

Scotland meet Brazil in Group C of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Wednesday, June 24 at 6:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Scotland are a UEFA side whose best run is never advanced past the group stage. Brazil come in as 5-time winners.

Scotland 1W 0D 2L in their last 3 matches (0.33 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Brazil 3W 1D 1L from their last 5 (2 / 0.8 per game). At home specifically, Scotland are averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. The model projects 0.98 expected goals for Scotland and 1.78 for Brazil (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 19% Scotland, 26% draw, 55% Brazil. Brazil have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Scotland vs Brazil prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (55% confidence). It projects roughly 2.76 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 53%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Scotland and Brazil ahead of kickoff.