Switzerland vs Colombia Prediction

Switzerland vs Colombia: the preview

Switzerland meet Colombia in Round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup, kicking off Tuesday, July 7 at 4:00 PM Eastern across the United States, Canada, Mexico host nations. Switzerland are a UEFA side whose best run is three quarter-final appearances (1934, 1938, 1954). Colombia come in as a CONMEBOL nation, best known for quarter-finals in 2014.

Switzerland 3W 1D 0L in their last 4 matches (2.25 scored, 0.75 conceded per game). Colombia 3W 1D 0L from their last 4 (1.25 / 0.25 per game). At home specifically, Switzerland are averaging 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Switzerland and 1.17 for Colombia (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 34% Switzerland, 31% draw, 35% Colombia. Colombia have the numbers, though away wins are never straightforward. Draw No Bet hedges.

Our Switzerland vs Colombia prediction

The model's lean is Away Win with a most-likely scoreline of 1-1 (35% confidence). It projects roughly 2.32 total goals, with Over 2.5 at 41% and both teams to score at 49%. As always these are probabilities, not certainties — team news and tournament pressure can swing a knockout night.

Compare it against the rest of the slate on our World Cup 2026 predictions page, or read up on Switzerland and Colombia ahead of kickoff.