Free Bundesliga predictions for today. Expert German football analysis with form stats, BTTS tips, Over/Under goals predictions, and data-driven scoreline forecasts.
13:30 GMT
100%
Bremen
L
Most Likely Score
7-0
Home Win
RB Leipzig
W
100%
Home
0%
Draw · xG 20.36
0%
Away
Match Result
Bremen to Win
100%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
56%
Full Analysis
Bremen 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (1 scored, 4 conceded per game). RB Leipzig 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (3 / 0 per game). The model projects 19.54 expected goals for Bremen and 0.83 for RB Leipzig (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 100% Bremen, 0% draw, 0% RB Leipzig. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets.
13:30 GMT
92%
Hoffenheim
L
Most Likely Score
7-1
Home Win
Dortmund
W
92%
Home
5%
Draw · xG 8.91
3%
Away
Match Result
Hoffenheim to Win
92%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
99%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
83%
Full Analysis
Hoffenheim 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (2 scored, 3 conceded per game). Dortmund 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (2 / 0 per game). The model projects 7.11 expected goals for Hoffenheim and 1.79 for Dortmund (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 92% Hoffenheim, 5% draw, 3% Dortmund. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (99%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (83%).
13:30 GMT
57%
Leverkusen
L
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Union Berlin
D
57%
Home
25%
Draw · xG 2.79
18%
Away
Match Result
Leverkusen to Win
57%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
53%
Full Analysis
Leverkusen 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (2 scored, 3 conceded per game). Union Berlin 0W 1D 0L from their last 1 (3 / 3 per game). The model projects 1.85 expected goals for Leverkusen and 0.95 for Union Berlin (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 57% Leverkusen, 25% draw, 18% Union Berlin.
13:30 GMT
99%
M'gladbach
L
Most Likely Score
7-0
Home Win
Elversberg
W
99%
Home
1%
Draw · xG 11.62
0%
Away
Match Result
M'gladbach to Win
99%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
61%
Full Analysis
M'gladbach 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (0 scored, 3 conceded per game). Elversberg 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (3 / 2 per game). The model projects 10.68 expected goals for M'gladbach and 0.95 for Elversberg (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 99% M'gladbach, 1% draw, 0% Elversberg. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (61%).
13:30 GMT
93%
SC Paderborn
D
Most Likely Score
7-3
Home Win
Freiburg
W
93%
Home
5%
Draw · xG 22.81
2%
Away
Match Result
SC Paderborn to Win
93%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
96%
Full Analysis
SC Paderborn 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 matches (0 scored, 0 conceded per game). Freiburg 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (4 / 1 per game). The model projects 19.54 expected goals for SC Paderborn and 3.27 for Freiburg (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 93% SC Paderborn, 5% draw, 2% Freiburg. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (96%).
16:30 GMT
97%
Schalke
L
Most Likely Score
7-1
Home Win
Bayern
W
97%
Home
2%
Draw · xG 9.06
1%
Away
Match Result
Schalke to Win
97%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
99%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
71%
Full Analysis
Schalke 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (0 scored, 3 conceded per game). Bayern 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (5 / 1 per game). The model projects 7.81 expected goals for Schalke and 1.24 for Bayern (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 97% Schalke, 2% draw, 1% Bayern. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (99%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (71%).
13:30 GMT
87%
HSV
L
Most Likely Score
7-4
Home Win
Mainz
D
87%
Home
11%
Draw · xG 49.26
2%
Away
Match Result
HSV to Win
87%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
99%
Full Analysis
HSV 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 matches (0 scored, 2 conceded per game). Mainz 0W 1D 0L from their last 1 (0 / 0 per game). The model projects 44.52 expected goals for HSV and 4.74 for Mainz (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 87% HSV, 11% draw, 2% Mainz. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (100%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (99%).
15:30 GMT
98%
Frankfurt
D
Most Likely Score
7-0
Home Win
Augsburg
W
98%
Home
1%
Draw · xG 8.62
1%
Away
Match Result
Frankfurt to Win
98%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
98%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
61%
Full Analysis
Frankfurt 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded per game). Augsburg 1W 0D 0L from their last 1 (3 / 0 per game). The model projects 7.67 expected goals for Frankfurt and 0.95 for Augsburg (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 98% Frankfurt, 1% draw, 1% Augsburg. Goal totals favour Over 2.5 (98%) — look at the goals markets. Both teams scoring looks likely (61%).
Bundesliga Predictions — How We Analyse
Our Bundesliga predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
